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14.06.2024

UK consumer inflation expectations continued to decline - survey

The results of the Bank of England's latest quarterly survey of public attitudes to inflation showed that median expectations of the rate of inflation over the coming year fell to 2.8% from 3.0% in February, when the previous survey was conducted.

Meanwhile, asked about expected inflation in the 12 months after that, respondents gave a median answer of 2.6%, down from 2.8% in February. Five-year inflation expectations of consumers remained at 3.1%. Asked to give the current rate of inflation, respondents gave a median answer of 5.5%, down from 6.1% in February.

By a margin of 65% to 6%, survey respondents believed that the economy would end up weaker, rather than stronger, if prices started to rise faster, compared to 69% and 5% respectively in February.

The survey also found that 40% of respondents thought the inflation target was ‘about right’, unchanged from 40% in February 2024. The proportions saying the target was ‘too high’ or ‘too low’ were 34% and 10% respectively.

As for the prospects of the Bank of England's monetary policy, 34% of respondents expected rates to rise over the next 12 months, down from 36% in February. 25% said they expected rates to stay about the same over the next twelve months, down from 26% in February.

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