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13.05.2024

U.S. consumer inflation expectations increase to 3.3 per cent in April

The New York Fed reported on Monday that the U.S. consumer inflation expectations for the year ahead increased to 3.3 per cent in April from 3.0 per cent in March. This marked the first gain in seven months and represented the highest reading since November 2023 (3.4 per cent).

According to the report, the anticipations about year-ahead price change for gas and food increased by 0.3 percentage point and 0.2 percentage point, respectively, to 4.8 per cent and 5.3 per cent. At the same time, expectations for year-ahead changes in the cost of a college education surged by 2.5 percentage points to 9.0 per cent, while the perceptions of year-ahead change in the cost of medical care jumped by 0.6 percentage point to 8.7 per cent, and those for the cost of rent climbed by 0.4 percentage point to 9.1 per cent. Elsewhere, home price growth expectations jumped to 3.3 per cent - the highest level since July 2022 - after remaining unchanged at 3.0 per cent for seven straight months.

The report also revealed that the three-year-ahead inflation expectations decreased to 2.8 per cent in April from 2.9 per cent in March, while the five-year-ahead inflation expectations rose to 2.8 per cent from 2.6 per cent in the previous month.

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