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19.03.2024

Canada’s annual inflation unexpectedly eases in February

Statistics Canada announced on Tuesday the country’s consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.3 per cent m-o-m in February, following an unrevised flat m-o-m performance in the previous month. This marked the strongest monthly rise in CPI since August 2023 (+0.4 per cent m-o-m).

On a y-o-y basis, however, Canada’s inflation rate demonstrated a 2.8 per cent jump last month, decelerating slightly from an unrevised 2.9 per cent advance in January. This represented the weakest annual inflation rate since June 2023 (+2.8 per cent). 

Economists had forecast inflation would climb by 0.6 per cent m-o-m and 3.1 per cent y-o-y in February.

According to the report, the February monthly rise in the headline CPI reflected gains in 5 of all 8 major components, driven by transportation (+0.7 per cent m-o-m), which, in its turn, primarily reflected an increase in gasoline prices (+4.0 per cent m-o-m). These gains, however, were partly offset by decreases in clothing and footwear (-1.1 per cent m-o-m), household operations, furnishings and equipment and (-0.2 per cent m-o-m) and alcoholic beverages, tobacco products and recreational cannabis(-0.1 per cent m-o-m).

Meanwhile, the trimmed-mean CPI – the preferred measure of core inflation of the Bank of Canada - surged 3.2 per cent y-o-y in February, following an unrevised 3.4 per cent y-o-y soar in January. This was the smallest annual gain since July 2021 (+3.1 per cent y-o-y).

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