Přehled forexového trhu Celý trh | Alexander Boltyan 23 listopadu 2024

22.11.2024 12:11

Weekly Summary: S&P 500 Is Close to the Peak

S&P 500 broad market index futures are rising by 1.3% to 5950 points, recovering almost a half of last week’s losses. To continue up towards new all-time high the benchmark has to hold above the resistance at 5930-5950 points. This week investors were nervous amid new round of geopolitical escalation. The benchmark was drifting up in uncertainty over nuclear threat from Russia. They were looking reluctantly at the macroeconomic data that revealed a pickup of inflation in the Eurozone, Canada and in the U.K. in October.

18.11.2024 11:11

Weekly Focus: NVidia Reporting and PMIs

Alexander Boltyan

The S&P 500 futures remain neutral this week at 5871 points after last week’s 2.1% decline, the largest pullback since early September. The market's tone remains cautious, weighed down by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's hawkish rhetoric, rising inflation, and robust October retail sales data. Powell's comments that the Fed sees no urgency to lower interest rates further dampened sentiment, as investors had hoped for a faster pace of rate cuts. While the stock market retains some upside potential, sustained economic growth is essential to fuel further gains.

08.11.2024 08:11

Weekly Summary: Trump Rally Is One Step of a Chequered Flag

Alexander Boltyan

S&P 500 broad market index futures are rising by 4.5% to 5978 points this week. This huge jump could easily become a record one since October 29, 2023. Then it happened after a 10% correction, which is not the case now. This could eventually limit the rally. The rally was reignited by the presidential elections in the United States on Tuesday. First, it was an expected ending of the political uncertainty that was accompanying the election process. Then the republican Donald Trump was gaining the lead and eventually became a president elected.

01.11.2024 11:11

Weekly Summary: “Magnificent Seven” Disappointment and Nonfarm Payrolls

Alexander Boltyan

The S&P 500 futures have declined by 1.4% to 5,721 points this week, primarily due to concerns in the tech sector. The sell-off began on Wednesday after Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta Platforms (META) reported Q3 earnings that exceeded expectations but also indicated significant increases in AI capital expenditures for 2025, which unsettled investors. Consequently, the S&P 500 dropped by 1.8% to 5,704 points on Thursday. A positive development came from Amazon (AMZN), whose strong earnings have boosted premarket prices by 6.0% to $197.

28.10.2024 12:10

Weekly Focus: “Magnificent Seven” Reporting, PCE and Nonfarm Payrolls

Alexander Boltyan

S&P 500 broad market index futures are rising by 0.7% to 5841 points, or just 0.7% away from its record The S&P 500 index futures rose by 0.7% to 5841 points, nearing its all-time high of 5881 points and within range to break this level soon. Monday’s session is light on data but fueled by positive momentum from last week’s Tesla (TSLA) earnings report, which has investors hopeful for similarly strong results from other “Magnificent Seven” mega-cap stocks this week.

18.10.2024 01:10

Weekly Summary: Netflix Guides Techs to the Upside

Alexander Boltyan

S&P 500 futures are up by 0.8%, reaching 5855 points, with the index twice hitting record peaks at 5881 points this week. This sharp rally puts the index on course for its next extreme targets at 6100-6200 points. Positive Q3 earnings from the banking sector and a standout performance from Netflix are fueling optimism. Netflix’s Q3 revenue rose 15% year-over-year to $9.8 billion, with an improved operating margin of 30%. It also added 5.07 million new subscribers, beating the expected 4.5 million, driving its stock price up 5.8% to $727 in pre-market trading on Friday.

14.10.2024 01:10

Weekly Focus: ECB, U.S. Retail Sales and Netflix

Alexander Boltyan

The S&P 500 futures rose by 0.2% to 5818 points this week, breaking through resistance at 5790-5810 points and setting a new all-time high of 5823 points. This breakout paves the way for potential extreme targets at 6100-6200 points. The banking sector surprised investors positively, with JPMorgan (JPM) and Wells Fargo (WFC) delivering better-than-expected Q3 results, fueling a market rally. This has provided a solid foundation for the stock market to perform well throughout October. In contrast, the U.S. September Producer Price Index (PPI) increased by 1.

04.10.2024 01:10

Weekly Summary: Nonfarm Positive Vibes

Alexander Boltyan

S&P 500 futures are down 0.5% this week, trading at 5713 points, recovering from a midweek low of 5672 points. Investors are now focusing on the upcoming September Nonfarm Payrolls report, which is expected to show positive results. The upside scenario for the S&P 500 index, with extreme targets of 6100-6200 points, remains possible if the index holds above the 5790-5810 point range. Large investors seem to be leaning towards this outcome, as the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) saw net inflows of $19.8 billion last week and another $1.

30.09.2024 02:09

Weekly Focus: PMI and Nonfarm Payrolls

Alexander Boltyan

The S&P 500 futures are down 0.3% to 5720 points this week but remain close to the all-time high of 5773 points. The index may set a new record soon, potentially activating a bullish scenario toward extreme targets of 6100-6200 points. Technically, the index needs to break through the 5790-5810 point range to gain further momentum. Large inflows into the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), totaling $17.4 billion last week, are a positive sign. Historically, such inflows have pushed the index up by as much as 3.6%, which could take the index above 5900 points.

20.09.2024 02:09

Weekly Summary: Triple Witching and Possible Stock Market Peak

Alexander Boltyan

The S&P 500 broad market index futures have risen by 1.4% to 5705 points, marking a new all-time high, driven by the Federal Reserve’s surprise half-point interest rate cut on Wednesday. Investors are optimistic about a potential soft landing for the American economy, drawing parallels to 1995, when a similar easing cycle boosted markets. However, there are significant differences this time around, suggesting risks. In 1995, the Fed started cutting rates with a quarter-point reduction, while this time, the cut was a half-point after 13 months of unchanged rates.