Přehled forexového trhu Celý trh | Alexander Boltyan 27 ledna 2025

24.01.2025 01:01

Weekly Summary: Trump Takes Over Markets

The S&P 500 broad market index futures have surged by 1.94% this week, reaching 6,110 points and setting three consecutive all-time highs. The index climbed to 6,121 points on Friday, driven by optimism surrounding U.S. President Donald Trump’s policies, which have significantly influenced market sentiment. During his inauguration on Monday, Trump avoided mentioning immediate tariff hikes, calming markets. However, by Tuesday, he proposed increases targeting Canada and Mexico, later adding China to the list.

20.01.2025 12:01

Weekly Focus: Trump Inauguration, Netflix and Bank of Japan

Alexander Boltyan

S&P 500 broad market index futures are rising by 0.13% to 6,002 points. Gains could have been more substantial, but the Martin Luther King Day holiday has tempered market activity. The benchmark extended its weekly gains by 1.1% to 3.0% last Friday, buoyed by rumours of positive discussions between U.S. President-elect Donald Trump and China’s President Xi Jinping. These talks, described as “good,” have raised hopes of a shift in the White House's tariffs policy, relieving pressure that has weighed on markets over the past three months.

10.01.2025 12:01

Weekly Summary: Nonfarm Payrolls

Alexander Boltyan

The S&P 500 futures edged up by 0.18% to 5,917 points, reflecting a continuation of the lackluster trend following a disappointing Santa rally. For the benchmark to align with January’s average performance, it would need to rise by 4.0% above its all-time highs, but there are currently no clear catalysts to propel it to such levels. Investor sentiment remains mixed. While the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) saw net inflows of $18.1 billion and $4.6 billion over the past two weeks, offsetting a $21.3 billion outflow three weeks prior, this week’s net outflows of $2.

20.12.2024 02:12

Weekly Summary: Fed Send U.S. Stocks Into Correction

Alexander Boltyan

The S&P 500 index has dropped by 3.3% to 5,838 points, marking its steepest decline since early September when recession fears gripped the markets. The Federal Reserve's latest monetary easing actions, involving a quarter-point interest rate cut to 4.50%, were overshadowed by hawkish commentary that rattled investors. The Fed raised inflation forecasts for 2024-2025 and reduced projected interest rate cuts in 2025 from four to two. Fed Chair Jerome Powell reinforced this cautious stance, emphasizing the need for further evidence of declining inflation and pushing U.S.

16.12.2024 12:12

Weekly Focus: U.S. Retail Sales, the Fed, GDP and PCE

Alexander Boltyan

S&P 500 broad market index futures are rising by 0.2% to 6060 points. Nobody want to take significant actions before the Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting this Wednesday. Policymakers could easily surprise the market. Is chair Jerome Powell was much unpredicted recently. Thus, the benchmark is trading in a quite narrow range between 6030 and 6090 points during the last 11 days. Technical range for a breakthrough is even narrower at 6050-6070 points. A breakthrough to the upside would send the benchmark to 6150 points or even higher.

06.12.2024 12:12

Weekly Summary: Nonfarm Payrolls

Alexander Boltyan

The S&P 500 broad market index futures are up by 0.7% this week, trading at 6,075 points. The benchmark hit new all-time highs four times, peaking at 6,094 points, and the winning streak appears poised to continue. Investors are closely watching the U.S. labor market report for November, scheduled for release on Friday, which is expected to indicate moderate cooling. While the U.S. manufacturing PMI exceeded expectations in November, other business activity indicators fell short of Wall Street forecasts. The ISM Services PMI dropped to 53.7 points from 57.

02.12.2024 12:12

Weekly Focus: Trump Threatens BRICS, S&P 500 Likely To Continue Up

Alexander Boltyan

S&P 500 broad market index futures are declining by 0.2% to 6025 points but remain above the key 6000-point barrier, suggesting a strong potential for continued upside. Pullbacks are viewed as minor and largely insignificant. The current dip in the index and the strengthening U.S. Dollar are linked to President-elect Donald Trump’s threats of imposing "100 percent tariffs" on a group of nine developing nations or so-called BRICS Group, potentially escalating into a trade war or serving as a negotiation tactic.

22.11.2024 12:11

Weekly Summary: S&P 500 Is Close to the Peak

Alexander Boltyan

S&P 500 broad market index futures are rising by 1.3% to 5950 points, recovering almost a half of last week’s losses. To continue up towards new all-time high the benchmark has to hold above the resistance at 5930-5950 points. This week investors were nervous amid new round of geopolitical escalation. The benchmark was drifting up in uncertainty over nuclear threat from Russia. They were looking reluctantly at the macroeconomic data that revealed a pickup of inflation in the Eurozone, Canada and in the U.K. in October.

18.11.2024 11:11

Weekly Focus: NVidia Reporting and PMIs

Alexander Boltyan

The S&P 500 futures remain neutral this week at 5871 points after last week’s 2.1% decline, the largest pullback since early September. The market's tone remains cautious, weighed down by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's hawkish rhetoric, rising inflation, and robust October retail sales data. Powell's comments that the Fed sees no urgency to lower interest rates further dampened sentiment, as investors had hoped for a faster pace of rate cuts. While the stock market retains some upside potential, sustained economic growth is essential to fuel further gains.

08.11.2024 08:11

Weekly Summary: Trump Rally Is One Step of a Chequered Flag

Alexander Boltyan

S&P 500 broad market index futures are rising by 4.5% to 5978 points this week. This huge jump could easily become a record one since October 29, 2023. Then it happened after a 10% correction, which is not the case now. This could eventually limit the rally. The rally was reignited by the presidential elections in the United States on Tuesday. First, it was an expected ending of the political uncertainty that was accompanying the election process. Then the republican Donald Trump was gaining the lead and eventually became a president elected.