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Ekonomické zprávy
15.11.2024

European session review: GBP weakens following underwhelming UK’s flash Q3 GDP growth data

TimeCountryEventPeriodPrevious valueForecastActual
07:00United KingdomBusiness Investment, q/qQuarter III1.4%0.5%1.2%
07:00United KingdomManufacturing Production (MoM) September1.3%-0.1%-1.0%
07:00United KingdomIndustrial Production (MoM)September0.5%0.1%-0.5%
07:00United KingdomGDP m/mSeptember0.2%0.2%-0.1%
07:00United KingdomGDP, q/qQuarter III0.5%0.2%0.1%
07:00United KingdomGDP, y/yQuarter III0.7%1%1.0%
07:45FranceCPI, m/mOctober-1.2%0.2%0.3%
07:45FranceCPI, y/yOctober1.1%1.2%1.2%

GBP depreciated against most of its counterparts in the European session on Friday as investors reacted to the UK’s advance gross domestic product (GDP) growth estimate, which indicated a sharper-than-anticipated slowdown in the UK economy in the third quarter of 2024. 

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported its preliminary estimates showed the UK’s economy grew 0.1% QoQ in the third quarter, following a 0.5% QoQ advance in the previous quarter. Economists had predicted a 0.2% QoQ expansion. 

The worse-than-expected third-quarter GDP growth print was due to an unexpected 0.1% MoM contraction in the British economy in September, driven by a decline in manufacturing output (-1.0% MoM) and information and communication services (-2.0% MoM).

Compared to the third quarter of 2023, Britain’s GDP increased 1.0% - the most since the fourth quarter of 2022 (+1.5%) - matching economists’ forecast.

Today’s depreciation keeps the pound on track for its worst run of weekly declines in a decade.


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