Ekonomické zprávy
15.08.2024

UK economic growth stalled in June, confirming economists' forecasts

Data published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed that the GDP remained unchanged in June after rising by 0.4% in May. Meanwhile, in the second quarter, economic growth slowed to 0.6%, as expected, from 0.7% in the first quarter. On an annual basis, GDP grew by 0.9% in the second quarter, as expected, after an increase of 0.3% in the first quarter. The latest increase was the strongest since the third quarter of 2022.

The ONS said services output fell by 0.1% in June, following five consecutive months of growth, with 7 of the 14 services subsectors falling in June. The largest negative contribution came from the wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles subsector, which fell by 1.0%. This was driven by a fall of 1.2% in the retail trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles industry, following growth of 2.9% in May. The largest positive contribution came from professional, scientific and technical activities, up 1.0%, its fifth consecutive monthly growth, mainly caused by growth of 4.5% in legal activities. Output in consumer-facing services fell by 0.7% in June, following growth of 0.7% in May (revised down from +0.8%). The main causes of the decline were falls of 1.2% in retail trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles, a 3.3% fall in the other personal service activities industry and a 4.0% decline in accommodation. The largest positive contribution came from buying and selling, renting and operating of own or leased real estate, which grew by 0.3%. Meanwhile, industrial production increased by 0.8%, accelerating compared to May (+0.3%, revised from +0.2%). Economists had expected an increase of only 0.1%. Manufacturing production rose by 1.1% after an increase of 0.3% in May (revised from +0.4%). This marked the strongest expansion since February, with growth seen in 9 out of 13 subsectors. Consensus estimates suggested an increase of 0.1%.

The data also showed that in annual terms, GDP grew by 0.7% in June, slowing compared to May (+1.4%). Economists had expected the economy to expand by 0.8%.

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