Forex Market Overview All market | Anton Bykov 1 April 2025

15.03.2022 12:03

Weekly Focus: Stocks are Down ahead of Fed Meeting

The U.S. Stock market is mixed as expectations towards monetary tightening of the Federal Reserve (Fed) this Wednesday have eased. Investors are not betting on a 25-basis point interest rate hike, while it was 50 b.p. or even 75 b.p just a few weeks ago, along with the beginning of quantitative tightening of at least $100 billion a month. But even with this quite favorable forecast, stocks are going down. It seems the market is unable to reach the upside by itself without any stimulus from the Fed.

04.03.2022 01:03

Week at war: Powell Supported Markets Ahead of NonFarm Payrolls

Anton Bykov

The reaction of the U.S. stock market to the Russian-Ukrainian conflict is less dramatic as military actions on Ukrainian territory seem to be less tense. Russia insists on the negotiations on its initial terms that seem more like an ultimatum rather that a compromise. This may mean that Russia’s main intention is to get the Ukrainian capital Kiev under its control. So, we may expect that urban warfare over Kiev may intensify soon.

18.02.2022 12:02

Market Summary: Markets are Still Sensitive to Russia’s Possible Ukraine “Invasion”

Anton Bykov

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine did not thankfully happen on February 16 as claimed by the White House Administration. It may seem that investors may now give off a sigh of relief as they may expect stock indexes to return to the upside. But now, at the end of the week, the picture is quite different. U.S. stock indexes are still below the 200-days moving average, demonstrating market vulnerability. The White House has given a new date when Russia can be expected to invade Ukraine, and this time the date is set for February 20th.

15.02.2022 01:02

Weekly Focus: Geopolitics Rule Markets

Anton Bykov

Last Friday geopolitical issues merged with other factors that direct markets, such as inflation and monetary policy, forming a strict and rigorous sequence of market events. If Russia invades Ukraine from February 16 to February 20, as the White House Administration expects, Brent crude prices may briefly jump above $100 per barrel, U.S. consumer prices may rise above 7.5% - which was lastly recorded in January - and extremely harsh actions may be made by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in March-July 2022.

25.01.2022 10:01

Weekly Focus: Who Saved the U.S. Stock Market from a Deeper Drop?

Anton Bykov

The drop of U.S. stock indexes suddenly stopped on Monday after the Dow Jones index dropped by 3.3%, the S&P 500 broad market index lost 4.0%, and the Nasdaq 100 was down by 5.0% during the day. Somebody “saved” the stock market moving indexes from reaching the positive territory of 0.3-0.5%. It is unlikely that hedge funds would have conducted such a rescue operation as they were ready to initiate a massive sell-off while waiting for Dow Jones and S&P 500 to slide below their 200-days moving average.