Crypto Week: Let the Gloomy March Shine

Bitcoin (BTC) is down 6.6% this week to $87,837, recovering from a low of $81,425 on Tuesday—the weakest level since February 28. The crypto market was initially lifted by U.S. President Donald Trump’s announcement of a U.S. crypto reserve plan on Sunday, which proposed including Bitcoin, Ethereum (ETH), Ripple (XRP), Cardano (ADA), and Solana (SOL). These altcoins surged 10–70% on the news.

However, the rally was short-lived as markets tumbled on Tuesday following Trump's imposition of elevated tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China. The crypto market dropped 10%, with Bitcoin erasing its recent gains. Further turbulence came from U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessenet, who reiterated the administration's commitment to lowering interest rates.

Trump has scheduled a White House Crypto Summit for March 7 to outline a roadmap for crypto-friendly regulations. According to the White House, the summit will focus on establishing clear industry guidelines, expanding stablecoin oversight, and blocking the creation of a U.S. central bank digital currency. A major topic of debate is why highly volatile assets like Ripple, Cardano, and Solana were included in the proposed reserve.

Despite market volatility, analysts at Standard Chartered now forecast Bitcoin reaching $200,000 by the end of 2025, urging investors to buy dips rather than waiting for BTC to drop to $80,000. Their projection aligns with expectations of a post-halving price surge, although a deep correction in late 2025 remains a possibility.

Meanwhile, an unknown trader profited $6.8 million after opening a $200 million BTC long position ahead of Trump’s crypto reserve announcement. Initially at risk of liquidation, the position turned profitable as BTC surged over 11% post-announcement.

Institutional sentiment appears to be stabilising. Spot Bitcoin ETFs from BlackRock (IBIT), Fidelity (FBTC), and Grayscale (GBTC) saw a record $1.88 billion in outflows in recent weeks but reported a more modest $102.7 million in outflows this week.

February was the worst month for the crypto market since June 2022, despite historically being among the best-performing months, with an average BTC gain of 7%. March is typically weaker, averaging a 3% BTC decline. However, 2025 could defy seasonal trends, with a lower market base and post-halving momentum potentially driving Bitcoin to new highs.

BTC price targets remain at $150,000–$200,000 by mid-2025, supported by the U.S. crypto reserve initiative and expected Federal Reserve rate cuts—both of which have become a key discussion points in the market.