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Economic news
18.03.2025

Canada’s annual inflation quickens much more than predicted in February

Statistics Canada reported on Tuesday the country’s consumer price index (CPI) climbed 1.1 per cent m-o-m in February, following an unrevised 0.1 per cent m-o-m uptick in the previous month. That marked the strongest monthly gain in CPI since May 2022 (+1.4 per cent m-o-m). 

On a y-o-y basis, Canada’s inflation rate jumped by 2.6 per cent last month, sharply accelerating from an unrevised 1.9 per cent in January. That represented the highest annual inflation rate since June 2024 (+2.7 per cent).

Economists had predicted the CPI would increase 0.6 per cent m-o-m and 2.2 per cent y-o-y in February.

According to the report, the February advance in the headline annual inflation was primarily due to the end of the goods and services tax (GST)/harmonized sales tax (HST) break partway through the month, contributing notable upward pressure to prices for eligible products. At the same time, slower price growth for gasoline prices (+5.1 per cent y-o-y) moderated the all-items CPI acceleration.

Meanwhile, the monthly advance in the headline CPI reflected increases in all 8 major items, led by recreation, education and reading (+3.4 per cent m-o-m), food (+1.9 per cent m-o-m), and clothing and footwear (+1.6 per cent m-o-m).

The trimmed-mean CPI - the preferred measure of core inflation of the Bank of Canada (BoC) - soared 2.9 per cent y-o-y in February, following an unrevised 2.7 per cent y-o-y surge in January. That was the strongest annual advance since June 2024 (+2.9 per cent y-o-y). Economists had anticipated a gain of 2.8 per cent y-o-y.

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