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Economic news
12.11.2024

European session review: GBP depreciates following UK’s labour market data

TimeCountryEventPeriodPrevious valueForecastActual
07:00GermanyCPI, m/mOctober0%0.4%0.4%
07:00GermanyCPI, y/y October1.6%2%2%
07:00United KingdomAverage Earnings, 3m/y September3.9%3.9%4.3%
07:00United KingdomClaimant count October10.130.526.7
07:00United KingdomILO Unemployment RateSeptember4%4.1%4.3%
10:00EurozoneZEW Economic SentimentNovember20.120.512.5
10:00GermanyZEW Survey - Economic SentimentNovember13.112.87.4
12:00OPECOPEC Monthly Report    

GBP fell against other major currencies in the European session on Tuesday as investors weighed the UK’s labour market data, which showed a bigger-than-anticipated increase in the unemployment rate but a weaker-than-expected deceleration in wage growth.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported the number of employed people in Britain rose by 220,000 in the three months through September. This represented the weakest three-month gain since the second quarter. Meanwhile, the country’s unemployment rate jumped to 4.3% from 4.0%, exceeding economists’ forecast of 4.1%. This marked the highest rate since the three months ending in May. Pay growth, excluding bonuses, decelerated to 4.8% in the third quarter from 4.9% in the three months to August, slightly above economists’ prediction of 4.7%.

Commenting on the latest data, the Bank of England’s chief economist Huw Pill stated that wages in the UK continue to be quite sticky and remain at elevated levels that are hard to reconcile with the BoE’s inflation target. The official also reiterated his view that further rate cuts should be a gradual process.

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